FXUS63 KGRB 222007

AFDGRB



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Green Bay WI

307 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Some rivers will remain at bankfull or even reach minor flood 

  stage within the next couple days.



- Temperatures will moderate the next few days, rising to above

  normal again from Tuesday to Thursday.



- A wintry mix of precipitation is possible during the middle of

  of the work week, especially Wednesday night into Thursday.



- Pleasant weekend expected, with dry conditions and mild

  temperatures.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 307 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Mostly cloudy skies and cool temperatures were observed across the

region this afternoon, along with NNE winds gusting to 20 to 30 

mph in the Fox Valley and lakeshore areas. Low clouds had

partially eroded over central, east central and northeast WI, but

were still locked in over the north central part of the state.



Fairly strong subsidence is expected across the forecast area

later this evening into Monday morning. This should help to break

up the low clouds, though they may briefly move back into north 

central WI overnight into early Monday morning. High pressure will

bring widespread clearing and sunshine by Monday afternoon, 

though high temperatures will only reach normal readings in the 

lower to middle 40s.



High pressure slides east Monday night, setting the stage for a

brief period of WAA overnight, followed by a weak cold front

sagging into northern WI on Tuesday before stalling out. These 

features are only expected to bring a small chance of 

precipitation to far northern WI through Wednesday. Low pressure 

approaching from the Northern Plains and an associated cold front 

may bring more widespread mixed precipitation to the region 

Wednesday night into Thursday. Once this system passes, Canadian 

high pressure will move into the region for the weekend, bringing 

mainly dry conditions.



After a cooler start to the week, milder temperatures in the 40s

and 50s arriive Tuesday through Thursday. A brief cool down

arrives after the Thursday cold frontal passage, but above normal

temperatures return for the weekend.



&&



.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance

Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Low clouds (mostly MVFR) were breaking up over central, northeast

and east central WI, but were holding tough over the north 

central part of the state. Suspect even north central WI will

scatter out later this afternoon and evening, but there are 

indications that MVFR ceilings may move back into that region 

(including the RHI TAF site) overnight into early Monday. Gusty

north winds will subside later this afternoon/early evening,

then pick up a little again by mid to late morning on Monday.



&&



.HYDROLOGY...

Issued at 307 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Several rivers have recently risen above bankfull, including the 

Wisconsin, Spirit, Big Rib, East and Yellow rivers. Forecasts 

indicate that the Wolf River should reach bankfull on Monday

afternoon. At this point, the greatest threat of minor flooding 

appears to be on the Yellow River near Babcock, as the current 

river stage is already within a foot of flood stage, and still 

rising. Although a Flood Warning or two (for minor flooding) may

become necessary, no significant flooding is anticipated at this 

time.



&&



.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION.....Kieckbusch

AVIATION.......Kieckbusch

HYDROLOGY......Kieckbusch