FXUS63 KGID 120551

AFDGID



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Hastings NE

1151 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- A cold front will bring breezy north winds and cooler

  temperatures (30s/low 40s) back to the area Friday.



- Light snow (T-0.5") is possible Friday night/Saturday morning

  mainly northeast of the Nebraska Tri-Cities.



- Very cold this weekend with high temperatures likely not

  climbing above freezing (possibly not out of the 20s) with

  widespread morning wind chills below zero Sunday morning.



- Dry and Mild conditions expected for at least the first half

  of next week (mostly 50s to near 60 at times).



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 140 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025



Quite the gradient in temperatures across the local area this

afternoon with 3 PM temperatures in the lower 70s in both 

Phillipsburg and Cambridge, with upper 30s to lower 40s being

observed across much of the eastern half of the area. Still 

hopeful that temperatures will peak closer to 60 along the 

highway 281 corridor by 5 PM, but less hopeful the further east

you go and did an adjustment to temperatures earlier in the 

shift to reflect this. Part of the reason temperatures have 

struggled has been the persistent cloud cover in northwestelry 

flow aloft along with a slower than anticipated switchover to 

westerly flow behind this mornings warm front. 



For tonight, expect a cold front to our north to begin to sag

south towards the local area, likely reaching the center of the

forecast area around midnight. This front will help to shift

winds back to the north by daybreak Friday, along with bringing

a fairly significant deck of low level stratus to around the 

NE/KS state line. This will result in a noticably cooler day for

most, with even colder air coming with a secondary front Friday

night through Saturday morning. This front will also have the 

potential to produce some very light snow or flurries, but all 

signs are that this activity should remain northeast of the 

Tri-cities where a T-0.5" of snowfall will be possible. 



As this secondary push of colder air reaches the area Saturday,

expect a cold day as temperatures will struggle to climb much 

Saturday afternoon, possibly not climbing out of the teens in 

spots (20s for most). In addition, temperatures will likely 

plummet Saturday night, with a very cold start of the day Sunday

morning and widespread wind chill values below zero. This 

notable drop in temperatures will be brief, however, as the cold

air will retreat to the east by Monday afternoon, and high 

pressure begins to amplify across the local area aloft. This 

will allow temperatures to return to the 50s across much of the 

area (with some 60s not out of the question) for the first half 

of the week, before the upper level ridge starts to flatten late

in the week, potentially bringing another cold front and dip in

temperatures back closer to normal Thursday and Friday.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 1150 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025



For KGRI/KEAR Airports:



Main concern will be ceilings over the next 24 hours. MVFR is

sinking S/SW into GRI now, and expect this to continue into EAR

over the next few hours. Latest short term models keep MVFR CIGs

around through the end of the period. There's even a possibility

of IFR CIGs around the 08Z-15Z time frame, though it's unclear

if it'll be more prevailing or tempo. Winds will be NNW to NNE

around 5-10kt through the period. Confidence: Medium.



&&



.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NE...None.

KS...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Rossi

AVIATION...Thies