FXUS63 KGID 021703

AFDGID



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Hastings NE

1203 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Non-severe thunderstorms producing heavy rain continue to move

  across south central Nebraska today.



- Today and tomorrow bring a period of drying out. Highs will be

  in the 90s. 



- Periodic thunderstorm chances are expected for the

  Independence Day holiday weekend.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 255 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



A weak shortwave is working its way northwest to southeast across 

central Nebraska early this morning. Storms have been going for the 

past few hours, with localized heavy rain and maybe some wind gusts 

and small hail. Model guidance has not done a good job of 

pinpointing where storms will be with this event. 



Storms on the southern side of this complex have been developing 

along two outflow boundaries. These storms have been fairly pulsy in 

nature, strengthening for a few scans and then diminishing in 

intensity. Based on current trends, storms will mainly impact 

portions of south central Nebraska. At this time, widespread severe 

weather is not anticipated. several rounds of heavy rainfall may 

lead to some localized flooding of low lying areas.



An upper trough will be in place over the West Coast today, with an 

upper ridge over the Front Range, and northwest flow over the Great 

Plains. Southerly winds will advect warmer air into the region 

today. Expected highs will range from the low to mid-90s, with lows 

tonight in the mid-60s to low 70s. Dry conditions are expected for 

much of the day and into Thursday. 



The ridge will shift east on Thursday, with another day of hot temps 

expected. Highs will be in the 90s. A weak disturbance may lift into 

the region during the late afternoon and evening hours. With limited 

moisture to work with, can't rule out an isolated thunderstorm 

Thursday night into Friday morning. 



Better chances (40-60%) of thunderstorms are expected on Friday as 

an embedded shortwave troughs lifts northeast, out of the Four 

Corners region. Moisture will be streaming in from the Pacific with 

this system. 



Periodic shower and thunderstorm activity will continue through the 

Tuesday with the better chances for storms occurring in the evening 

and overnight hours. It is a little too early to tell if severe 

weather will be a concern. Expected highs will be in the 80s and 90s 

each day with lows primarily in the 60s.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...

Issued at 1201 PM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



For KGRI/KEAR Airports:



Dry weather with VFR conditions are forecast for this TAF

period...with little in the way of cloud cover expected. Through

this afternoon, winds remain SSWrly around 15 MPH, but cannot 

totally rule out a few gusts closer to 20 MPH at times. This

evening on through the end of the period, winds are more

southerly, speeds expected to top out around 10-15 MPH.



&&



.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NE...None.

KS...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Wekesser

AVIATION...ADP