FXUS63 KEAX 092301

AFDEAX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO

601 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



-Mild, sunny, and dry weather is expected through the weekend into 

next week with highs near 80s



-Much warmer temperatures expected Wednesday into next weekend with 

high reaching the upper 80s for many



-Limited rain chances through the extend forecast



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 153 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



The forecast will be dominated by mild conditions this weekend 

thanks to a blocking pattern that has developed over the central US. 

In the mid to upper levels troughing pushes off the east coast 

leaving behind an area of low pressure over the south central US. 

The low has becomes closed off and will meander north of the Gulf 

for the next several days. To the west, ridging develops in the

southwest United States and remains locked in thanks to the low

to our south preventing much movement in the upper pattern. For

our area, we remain between these two features, which means 

weather should be relatively quiet for the next few days. This 

afternoon, expect highs to top out in the mid 70s with light 

winds and sunny skies. Lows tonight fall into the low 50s. 



For the weekend,the axis of the ridge tilts slightly toward our area 

keeping the weather quiet and mild each day. On Saturday and Sunday, 

expect highs near 80 across the area and ample sunshine along with 

light winds. A great weekend for those with outdoor plans. 



As we head into the work week the stagnant low begins to slide up 

the Mississippi River, eventually pushing east of our area by the 

mid week. Very low end precipitation chances will possible clip our 

eastern forecast area as the low slides away. In the lows place, 

strong upper level ridging becomes more prevalent over the region 

and a warming trend begins. Highs on Monday and Tuesday remain in 

the low to mid 80s. Wednesday through Friday will seem more like mid-

summer with highs in the mid and even upper 80s and lows in the mid 

60s; Well above normal for mid-May. Precipitation chances return

late next week, although the specifics are still unclear if our

area would be impacted.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 600 PM CDT Fri May 9 2025



VFR conditions expected through the forecast with light winds as

high pressure/ surface ridge axis moves through the area. 



&&



.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...None.

KS...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...WFO EAX

AVIATION...WFO EAX