FXUS63 KDDC 070402

AFDDDC



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Dodge City KS

1102 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Pleasant highs to close out the business week



- A chance of thunderstorms in the east over the weekend



- Fairly warm and dry next week



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026



Dry northwesterly flow aloft is expected Thursday and Friday. The

net result is a dry and warm forecast. For today, light downslope

winds will continue. This will result in much warmer highs with values

peaking in the mid to upper 70s. The light downslope winds will continue

through the overnight tonight. This will result in warmer lows with

values bottoming out mainly in the 40s. Low 50s are possible across

south-central Kansas. For Friday, the uneventful weather will continue.

Highs will peak once again in the mid to upper 70s. Lows Saturday

morning will continue to be mainly in the 40s.



For Saturday, a weak upper level wave will move from the Northern

Plains to the Central Plains. This disturbance might spark off thunderstorms

across the far eastern zones Saturday evening. Both the GEFS and

ENS members show the best consensus of storm initiation stretching

from central Kansas towards eastern Kansas. The NBM pops across the

eastern zones look reasonable for now. Otherwise, highs Saturday

will be in the 80s with a slight cooldown to 70s Sunday. Lows over

the weekend will range from the 40s to 50s.



For next week, mid level heights will remain fairly high. Both long

range models and their ensemble counterparts so no major synoptic

system influencing our local weather for several days. This supports

the notion of a forecast free of thunderstorms. Highs Monday and

Tuesday could end up on the hot side with 90s possible across a portion

of the FA. Both GEFS and ENS are in agreement with a warm and dry

forecast during this period.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... 

Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026



VFR is expected through TAF pd. Winds will be southwesterly to westerly

10-20 kt.



&&



.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT Thursday for KSZ030-031-044>046-

064>066-077>081-087>090.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ Thursday for KSZ043-

061>063-074>076-084>086.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Sugden

AVIATION...Sugden