FXUS63 KDDC 020825

AFDDDC



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Dodge City KS

325 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Warm, dry, and breezy conditions today



- Storm chances increase for Independence Day and weekend



- Continued storm chances into next week



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 324 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025



Last evening's 00z 500 mb observations across the CONUS showed 

ridging centered over the central Rockies. This feature will be 

the main driver for our weather today and into tomorrow, leading

to dry conditions. At the surface, breezy southerly winds will

be the main weather highlight today. Expect winds to increase 

after about 18z with widespread 15-20 mph sustained winds and 

gusts 25-30+ mph at times, especially closer to the Colorado 

border. Winds will subside into the night before increasing 

again into tomorrow. Temperatures will be around normal for 

early July, hovering around either side of 90 both days.



Main focus of the forecast will be storm chances this

Independence Day and holiday weekend and how they may impact 

any festivities. By Thursday, influences from the first of 

several weak impulses swinging in from the west will set the 

stage for some storm activity. This pattern will continue into 

this weekend, with storm chances (20-50%) existing each day from

Thursday-Sunday. No one day stands out over the other, so other

than a local stronger or severe storm, not anticipating 

widespread severe weather at this time. However, given 

increasing instability and at least a somewhat better sheared 

environment, it is not out of the question a few stronger storms

could get going and result in damaging downburst and 

marginally severe hail. Throughout this same period, 

temperatures will continue to increase into the 90s, with 

Saturday being the hottest day of the stretch.



After the weekend, additional weak shortwave troughs could bring

daily chances of rain and storms into much of next week.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...

Issued at 1148 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025



VFR conditions will prevail throughout this TAF period. The

biggest weather impact will be increasing southerly winds on 

the order of 15-20 knots with gusts up around 30 knots at times

at all terminals. Winds will diminish into this evening.



&&



.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Bennett

AVIATION...Bennett