FXUS63 KAPX 271036 AFDAPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 636 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry with seasonable temperatures through at least mid-week. - Cooler with shower chances returning to end the week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 305 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025 High pressure remains in control across the Great Lakes, maintaining quiet conditions across the region. A shallow layer of low-level moisture lingering over Lake Huron will continue to produce some patchy clouds drifting into northeast Lower and eastern Upper through the morning. Otherwise, skies look to remain mostly clear with abundant sunshine for most areas. Afternoon highs will climb into the 50s. Tonight stays calm and cool with radiational cooling likely bringing overnight lows into the upper 20s to low 30s across northern Lower with mid 30s to low 40s across eastern Upper. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 305 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025 Still looks like we will hang on to the stretch of dry and calm weather for a couple more days before a more unsettled pattern takes hold heading into the start of November. Broad upper-level ridging over the Great Lakes and Ontario will keep things mainly quiet through at least Wednesday, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and highs generally in the 50s. Nights will stay on the chilly side with good radiational setups, dipping into the 20s and 30s. By late week, the pattern begins to shift as the ridge breaks down and a deep trough digs into the central and eastern U.S. A developing low looks to lift northeast through the Ohio Valley and toward the Great Lakes Thursday/ Friday. Most of the steady rain associated with the aformentioned system looks to stay to our south and east, but we'll start to see cooler air filtering in behind it with increasing low level moisture off of the Lakes... best shower potential becoming centered in favored lake effect areas with time. As the deeper trough settles overhead, temperatures will steadily fall back closer to early November normals, highs mainly in the 40s Friday through the weekend, with overnight lows in the upper 20s / 30s. Could see some lake enhanced rain showers through the weekend lingering into early next week depending on how long the trough sticks around. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 636 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025 Primarily VFR. May contend with some brief low cloud this morning, but largely high enough CIGs to maintain VFR. Marine driven plume of clouds will lead to some daytime clouds at about 3,500ft this afternoon. Skies clear across most of NW lower tonight, with some clouds lingering at CIU, PLN, and APN tonight. Light E to SE winds trend a touch breezier this afternoon, with some 15kt gusts certainly possible before tapering to light winds again tonight. && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...NSC LONG TERM...NSC AVIATION...HAD