FXUS62 KTBW 090015

AFDTBW



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

815 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025



...New UPDATE, AVIATION...



.UPDATE...

Issued at 746 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025



A slightly more exciting afternoon and early evening hours with

some strong storms that supported pea size hail and up to 49 mph

winds. This was sponsored by the ample of moisture available, the

upper level energy associated with a disturbance, the sea breeze,

plenty of instability and the fact that temperatures aloft were 

cool enough. Most of this activity has now died down and that is

left is this muggy air that doesn't feel great. This will likely

support some patchy fog overnight and Friday morning, but this

should dissipate after sunrise. Another round of showers and

storms is possible Friday afternoon along the sea breeze,

especially over the interior and east. Again, temperatures aloft

will be cool enough that if storms were to materialize, they could

support small hail. Afternoon highs will be similar to today with

dewpoints in the 70s, very uncomfortable.



Otherwise, no chances were made to the forecast as it remains on 

track.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 746 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025



A few showers remain over interior locations, however, most of 

the convection have exited the area. Overnight very moist 

conditions and light winds stay in place bringing the potential 

for low clouds to develop, especially near LAL and maybe near PGD.

Intermittent ceilings are possible through just after sunrise 

with VFR conditions prevailing. Winds increase out of the west 

along the sea breeze and rain chances also increase, but highest 

chances remain over interior locations. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

TPA  75  89  75  89 /  20  50  40  70 

FMY  74  90  73  91 /  10  40  20  50 

GIF  71  91  72  90 /  40  70  40  70 

SRQ  72  87  73  88 /  20  40  30  60 

BKV  66  89  67  89 /  30  50  40  70 

SPG  75  86  76  86 /  20  40  40  70 



&&



Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 4

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 7



For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: 

     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology



&&



.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.

Gulf waters...None.



&&



$$



UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme 

DECISION SUPPORT...Fleming