FXUS61 KRLX 201915 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 315 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Flood Watch has been issued for tonight through Monday morning, when additional heavy rain is expected to move through the area. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Unsettled through much of the work week, with continued potential for flooding and isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to move through the area today through Monday night, with most robust activity occurring in concert with a couple of shortwaves. Activity will be isolated to scattered this afternoon, then the next round of more widespread activity arrives this evening. A Flood Watch has been issued for southeast Ohio and much of West Virginia, where heavy downpours could rapidly produce a couple inches of rain overnight and Monday morning. Locations that already received heavy rain earlier today will be at greatest risk for flash flooding overnight. Additional rain on Monday could necessitate an extension to the Flood Watch. A few strong to severe storms could also be capable of producing locally strong wind gusts. From Tuesday through Thursday, the pattern remains unsettled with additional chances for flooding as an upper trough spirals across the Middle Ohio Valley towards the east coast. Drier conditions return late week into the weekend as the system pushes off the Atlantic Coast. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Brief MVFR/IFR restrictions remain possible as showers and a few storms progress through the area today. More widespread IFR or worse restrictions should develop with another round of rain and storms moving through the area overnight. These restrictions will be slow to improve, with sub-VFR likely lingering much of Monday. Winds will generally be light and variable, though locally strong gusts may be possible in storms. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of showers/storms and intensity of restrictions may vary from the forecast. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EDT 1HRLY 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H L PKB CONSISTENCY M H H M M H H M H M L M CKB CONSISTENCY H H M L L H H H H H H L AFTER 18Z MONDAY... IFR conditions possible in showers and storms each day through mid week. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Monday morning for WVZ006>011-013>020-026>032-039-040-517>526. OH...Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Monday morning for OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...20 AVIATION...20