FXUS61 KILN 051142

AFDILN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wilmington OH

642 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026



.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

No significant changes.



&&



.KEY MESSAGES...

1) An upper level trough will settle into the Great Lakes region 

late this week and over the weekend. This will lead to cooler yet

near normal temperatures and occasional chances for showers.



2) Temperatures will make a return to above normal for the new work

week, though only by about 5-8 degrees on highs and less than 5

degrees on lows.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1)

A mid level trough will cross east through the Ohio Valley Thursday

night, bringing a few showers to areas north of the I-70 corridor.

Afterwards, a closed low will track east through the lower Great

Lakes and bring in colder air aloft in its wake. 



A secondary frontal passage will also usher in a somewhat cooler 

airmass heading into the weekend. Daytime highs will only be in the 

50s Saturday and Sunday. 



KEY MESSAGE 2)

A dry forecast is expected after Friday through the end of the

period. Starting Monday, temperatures will modify a little each day,

generally in the low to mid 60s for highs and mid-upper 30s for lows.



&&



.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

At issuance time, there is a bkn vfr deck e of kiln, a strip of 

clearing/scattered clouds, followed by a bkn-ovc deck right around 

the mvfr/vfr interface at 3kft. Expect these skies to become more

scattered and rise over the next few hours, especially as winds 

kick in. 



Wind will pick up from the sw today 10-14kt with gusts 20-25kt and 

then calm back down with the setting sun. Through the forecast, wind 

is expected to be from 230 degrees give or take. 



Winds turn more northwest at the tail end of the forecast as a mid 

level deck 5-7kft works in.



OUTLOOK...MVFR cigs possible Friday into Saturday.



&&



.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

OH...None.

KY...None.

IN...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Franks

AVIATION...Franks