FXUS61 KILN 050653

AFDILN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wilmington OH

153 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026



.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

No significant changes.



&&



.KEY MESSAGES...

1) An upper level trough will settle into the Great Lakes region 

late this week and over the weekend. This will lead to cooler yet

near normal temperatures and occasional chances for showers.



2) Temperatures will make a return to above normal for the new work

week, though only by about 5-8 degrees on highs and less than 5

degrees on lows.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1)

A mid level trough will cross east through the Ohio Valley Thursday

night, bringing a few showers to areas north of the I-70 corridor.

Afterwards, a closed low will track east through the lower Great

Lakes and bring in colder air aloft in its wake. 



A secondary frontal passage will also usher in a somewhat cooler 

airmass heading into the weekend. Daytime highs will only be in the 

50s Saturday and Sunday. 



KEY MESSAGE 2)

A dry forecast is expected after Friday through the end of the

period. Starting Monday, temperatures will modify a little each day,

generally in the low to mid 60s for highs and mid-upper 30s for lows. 



&&



.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

MVFR cigs will briefly scatter out from w-e this morning and then

build back in as a lower end VFR deck. Cigs are expected to remain

VFR once this line of scattering passes, which has already happened

at CVG/LUK and will take an extra hour to reach DAY and another hour

at ILN. Used a tempo at DAY and ILN to account for clouds hanging

right around the 3kft threshold between MVFR and VFR for a few hours

early this morning.



Not certain how much longer it will take to reach CMH/LCK and used 

guidance of 12Z.



Wind will pick up from the sw today 10-14kt with gusts 20-25kt and

then calm back down with the setting sun. Through the forecast, wind

is expected to be from 230 degrees give or take. 



OUTLOOK...MVFR cigs possible Friday into Saturday.



&&



.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

OH...None.

KY...None.

IN...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Franks

AVIATION...Franks