FXUS23 KWNC 122012

PMDSST

Tropical Pacific mean sea surface temperature/SST/ outlook

NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD

300 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2025



Mean temperature anomaly SST outlooks are in tenth of a degree

Celsius for the Nino 3.4 area of the tropical Pacific /5N-5S 

120W-170W/.  Anomalies are from 1991-2020 Nino 3.4 climatology

SST /CLIM/.



Three month outlook periods

eg. JFM is January through March - FMA for FEB. through APR.

See notes below on types of outlooks



TYPE   JFM  FMA  MAM  AMJ  MJJ  JJA  JAS  ASO  SON  OND  NDJ  DJF  JFM

CONS  -0.4 -0.2 -0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.1  0.0 -0.0  0.2  0.1  0.0  0.1

U68    0.1  0.3  0.4  0.6  0.7  0.9  0.9  1.0  1.1  1.4  1.3  1.2  1.0

L68   -0.9 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -1.0 -1.0 -1.1 -0.9

U95    0.3  0.6  0.7  0.8  1.0  1.3  1.4  1.6  1.8  2.1  2.1  1.8  1.6

L95   -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.5 -0.7 -1.2 -1.5 -1.8 -1.7 -1.8 -1.8 -1.5

CCA   -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1  0.0  0.1  0.2  0.2  0.1  0.1  0.1  0.1

CA    -0.3 -0.1  0.1  0.3  0.5  0.6  0.6  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.7  0.5  0.4

CFS   -0.1  0.2  0.3  0.5  0.6  0.7                                   



CLM   26.9 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.6 26.7 26.9





CONS - Official consolidated outlook

U68  - The upper limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast

L68  - The lower limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast

U95  - The upper limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast

L95  - THE lower limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast

CCA  - Canonical correlation analysis outlook

CA   - Constructed analog outlook

CFS  - NCEP CFS version 2 dynamic model outlook

CLM  - Climatological mean Nino 3.4 SST

This product is available in a graphical format on the internet

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov



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