FXUS01 KWBC 221921

PMDSPD



Short Range Forecast Discussion

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

319 PM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Valid 00Z Mon Mar 23 2026 - 00Z Wed Mar 25 2026



...Snow for parts of the Northeast...



...There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms

over parts of the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on

Sunday...



...There is a marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of

the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on Sunday...



A front extending from the Northeast to the Southern Plains will

move eastward off the Mid-Atlantic coast by Monday while lingering

over the Southern Tier States through Tuesday. The storm will

produce light snow over parts of the Northeast, with isolated

pockets of rain/freezing rain over northern Mid-Atlantic overnight

Sunday. As the front sags southward, showers and severe

thunderstorms will develop over the Ohio Valley and the northern

Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. Therefore, the SPC has issued an Enhanced

Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms over the Ohio Valley to

the northern Mid-Atlantic through Monday morning.  The hazards

associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe

thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. In addition,

there is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the

Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. Therefore, the

WPC has issued a Marginal Risk (level 1/4) of excessive rainfall

over parts of the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic through

Monday morning.  The associated heavy rain will create localized

areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that experience rapid

runoff with heavy rain. On Monday, rain will develop over parts of

the Mid-Atlantic and move into the Southeast on Tuesday.



Meanwhile, upper-level energy will trigger light rain over parts

of the Northwest late on Monday. By Tuesday morning, an

approaching front over the Pacific will trigger rain across the

Northwest, which will expand inland into the northern

Intermountain Region and the Northern High Plains by Tuesday.





Ziegenfelder





Graphics available at

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php









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