FXUS01 KWBC 031944

PMDSPD



Short Range Forecast Discussion

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

243 PM EST Tue Feb 03 2026



Valid 00Z Wed Feb 04 2026 - 00Z Fri Feb 06 2026



...A low pressure system will produce rain and thunderstorms in

the Southeast, and light wintry precipitation in the

Mid-Atlantic...



...A frontal system is expected to bring light snow and wintry

precipitation to the Northern Plains mid-week, while the Great

Lakes experience heavier snow on Thursday...



...Warmer-than-average temperatures are set to continue for the

western half of the United States, particularly in the Northern

Plains...



A low pressure system originating in the Southern Plains is

expected to continue its eastward progression, moving into the

Southeast by this evening. Low-level southwesterly flow will aid

in the movement of moisture from the Gulf into the Southeast,

supporting showers and thunderstorms today and Wednesday. Rain and

thunderstorms will continue in the Lower Mississippi Valley

through the overnight hours tonight, before entering the Tennessee

Valley and Southeast early on Wednesday morning. Meanwhile, the

arrival of an arctic air mass will drive colder air into the

Mid-Atlantic, and snow and wintry precipitation are expected

tonight into Wednesday. With little moisture availability expected

in the Mid-Atlantic, along with a relatively quick progression of

the system through the region, little to no accumulation of snow

is expected.



In the Northern Plains, a dissipating surface frontal system will

move through the Dakotas into the early morning hours of

Wednesday, bringing light wintry precipitation into Wednesday

morning. Further east, localized Lake Effect snow is anticipated

to continue through Wednesday in parts of the Northeast,

especially upstate New York, as a cold front moves eastward. After

a brief reprieve in the Great Lakes on Wednesday, widespread snow

will return on Thursday, particularly throughout parts of

Wisconsin and Michigan, as another frontal system moves through.

To end the week, this front is expected to dive southeastward,

bringing another period of colder-than-average temperatures to the

eastern United States.



Further west, calm conditions and above average temperatures will

move through on Wednesday, particularly in the Northern Plains, as

downsloping winds move in from the Northern Rockies following the

departure of the aforementioned frontal system. These unseasonably

warm conditions will then persist for the remainder of the week

and into the weekend. Above average temperatures and calm

conditions are also expected to continue for most of the western

half of the United States through the rest of the week.



Blanco-Alcala





Graphics available at

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php



$$