FNUS76 KMFR 100405

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Duece RX...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

905 PM PDT Fri May 9 2025



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 10. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm weather will continue Saturday, but

gusty southwest winds will be slightly stronger. A dry front will

push through Saturday evening. Winds will continue a 

strengthening trend on Sunday with a pattern change to much cooler

and unsettled weather. Light showers are possible Sunday night 

into Monday, then a higher probability of rain and slight chance 

of thunderstorms follows Monday afternoon into Monday night. The 

cool, moist weather is expected through Wednesday followed by 

conditions closer to normal late in the week. 



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-40 percent) with high clouds. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 72. 

Min humidity........18 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 

                    around 8 mph increasing to 5 to 8 mph

                    with gusts to 14 mph. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to 

                    around 18 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph 

                    with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 24 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.SATURDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-50 percent) then becoming 

                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 35. 

Max humidity........88 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 4 to 6 mph with gusts to 12 mph

                    in the evening then becoming light. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph

                    in the evening then becoming light. 

Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.

Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west around 7 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.SUNDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of 

                    rain showers in the late morning and  

                    afternoon.

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 58. 

Min humidity........32 percent.

Eye level winds.....Southwest winds increasing rapidly after sunrise. 

                    Southwest 3 to 6 mph increasing to 6 to 

                    10 mph with gusts to around 16 mph in the 

                    late morning and afternoon.

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds increasing rapidly after sunrise. 

                    Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 

                    25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph in the 

                    late morning and afternoon. 

Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.

Transport winds.....Southwest around 27 mph.

CWR.................2 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...WEYGAND

Requested by...Nate Crawford

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2513674.0/MFR

.DELDT 05/10/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL samuel_tacchini@fws.gov