FNUS76 KMFR 031458

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Buck Fire...Forest Service

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

758 AM PDT Thu Jul 3 2025



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 PDT on July 03. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Another round of thunderstorms is expected this

afternoon, but the main activity should remain just east of the

burn site today. Even still, there remains a slight chance (15%)

of thunderstorms later today and gusty outflows could still 

potentially affect the fire from nearby storms. Isolated showers

and thunderstorms are possible overnight tonight into Friday

morning. Afternoon winds will be fairly typical with relatively

light winds expected overnight, becoming gusty and from the

northwest in the afternoon. Temperatures will trend cooler than 

normal through the weekend, then trend warmer early next week. 



.REST OF TODAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers 

                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. 

Chance of lightning.16 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 75. 

Min humidity........30-35 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 5 to 7 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5-7 mph, increasing to 7 to 10 mph with gusts 

                    to 15 mph this afternoon.

                    Gusty and erratic winds expected 

                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.TONIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance

                    of showers and thunderstorms through the night. 

Chance of lightning.17 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 48. 

Max humidity........85 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 3 mph shifting to the 

                    northeast up to 3 mph overnight. 

Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 8 mph becoming north 6 to 8 mph 

                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 

Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph. 

CWR.................8 percent. 



.INDEPENDENCE DAY...



Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). 

Chance of lightning.12 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 68. 

Min humidity........45-50 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds in the morning, becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph 

                    in the afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........Light winds in the morning, becoming northwest 

                    7 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....West around 8 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...FIRMIN

Requested by...Daisha Roberts

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2517205.0/MFR

.DELDT 07/03/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL Orrvc@firenet.gov