FNUS76 KLOX 030319

FWSLOX



Spot Forecast for Madre Fire...Los Padres NF

National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA

819 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025



If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...

Continued hot conditions are expected for the Madre Fire on Thursday,

with highs again in the mid to upper 90s. Humidities are expected to 

increase some, with minimum values near 20 percent. However, there is 

a 30 percent chance of minimum humidities between 12 to 15 percent. 

Mixing heights will be high enough to allow for plume dominated fire

behavior, especially in the afternoon to early evening hours. Light

winds in the morning will increase from the west, becoming gusty in

the afternoon to evening with peak gusts between 20 to 25 mph. 



.THURSDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). 

Max temperature.....93-97. 

Min humidity........15-20 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Variable winds up to 3 mph becoming west 3 to 5 mph 

                    with gusts to 7 mph in the afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........Light winds through 1100 becoming west 6 to 10 mph 

                    with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. 

Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 3 to 5 mph becoming west 10 to 15

                    mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.  

Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL rising to 6800 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph becoming west 10 to 12 mph. 



.THURSDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). 

Min temperature.....Around 55. 

Max humidity........45-50 percent. 

Eye level winds.....West winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the north up 

                    to 5 mph overnight. 

Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming 

                    northeast 4 to 6 mph overnight. 

Ridgetop wind.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming

                    northeast 4 to 8 mph.  

Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL lowering to AOB 1000 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....West 15 mph becoming north to northeast 5 mph after

                    midnight. 



$$

Forecaster...SMITH

Requested by...Peter Stephenson

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2517178.0/LOX

.DELDT 07/02/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL peter.stephenson@usda.gov