FNUS75 KTWC 030037

FWSTWC



Spot Forecast for Rancheria...USDA Forest

National Weather Service Tucson AZ

537 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MST on July 02.

 

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms are possible with a 30-50%

chance overnight, leading to good overnight RH recoveries at 

65-70%. Showers and thunderstorms are possible again tomorrow with

a 60-70% chance. With any thunderstorm, gusty and erratic winds

due to outflows and locally heavy rainfall are possible. Outside

of thunderstorm winds, surface winds will be to from the

West/Northwest at 5 to 12 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. After

tomorrow, a drying trend begins with decreasing thunderstorm

chances each day into the weekend.



.REST OF TONIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and 

                    thunderstorms late in the evening, then showers 

                    and thunderstorms likely overnight. 

Chance of pcpn......50 percent increasing to 60 percent overnight. 

Min temperature.....0-73 degrees. 

Max humidity........67-70 percent. 

20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic 

					winds expected near thunderstorms. 

Mixing height.......900 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 knots. 



.THURSDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms 

                    likely. 

Chance of pcpn......70 percent. 

Max temperature.....90-93 degrees. 

Min humidity........32-35 percent. 

20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 

                    expected near thunderstorms. 

Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 knots. 



.THURSDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. 

                    Showers and thunderstorms likely in the 

                    evening, then slight chance of showers and 

                    thunderstorms overnight. 

Chance of pcpn......70 percent decreasing to 20 percent overnight. 

Min temperature.....71-74 degrees. 

Max humidity........60-63 percent. 

20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic 

                    winds expected near thunderstorms. 

Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 10 knots. 



.INDEPENDENCE DAY...



Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and 

                    thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of 

                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 

Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 

Max temperature.....92-95 degrees. 

Min humidity........25-28 percent. 

20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 

                    expected near thunderstorms. 

Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 knots. 



$$

Forecaster...TETRAULT

Requested by...Jeff Fulgham

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2517167.0/TWC

.DELDT 07/02/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL jeffrey.fulgham@usda.gov



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