FNUS75 KPSR 020607

FWSPSR



Spot Forecast for WKN - Monarch...DFFM

National Weather Service Phoenix AZ

1107 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MST on July 01. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...

Expect easterly winds during the overnight and much of the morning 

before turning southwest at around 10 mph in the afternoon. Scattered

showers and thunderstorms are expected to form to the northeast of

the area early to mid afternoon before descending to near the fire by

late afternoon. This will very likely turn winds back out of the

east or northeast around 4-6 pm with a period a strong gusty winds of

greater than 35 mph possible (50% chance). CWR for Wednesday are around

20-25% with higher chances of at least 30% of thunderstorms near the

area. Thursday may bring another chance (15%) of a shower or

thunderstorm, likely focused during the late morning and early

afternoon. Winds Thursday are expected to be fairly light and variable

in the morning before turning out of the south southwest by the

afternoon.



...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...



Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found

in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.



.WEDNESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of 

                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 

CWR.................20 percent. 

Chance of thunder...25 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 102. 

Min humidity........22-27 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the 

                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic 

                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the 

                    afternoon. 



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming 

                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of 

                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then 

                    chance of showers overnight. 

CWR.................20 percent. 

Chance of thunder...30 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 77. 

Max humidity........56-61 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........East northeast winds 6 to 11 mph with gusty and 

                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in 

                    the evening.



.THURSDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers 

                    and thunderstorms in the late morning and early

                    afternoon. 

CWR.................5 percent. 

Chance of thunder...15 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 99. 

Min humidity........20-25 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic 

                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the 

                    morning. 



$$

Forecaster...CK

Requested by...John

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2517106.0/PSR

.DELDT 07/01/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL aidclogistics@dffm.az.gov