FNUS75 KMSO 092137

FWSMSO



Spot Forecast for Tabor Day 3

National Weather Service Missoula MT

337 PM MDT Fri May 9 2025



Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 MDT on May 09. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Thermal belts will lead to poor humidity recoveries

tonight. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected Saturday 

as southwest winds increase with a tightening pressure gradient. 

Mid-level moisture and instability will lead to cumulus build-ups

by late morning to early afternoon, with high-based showers and 

thunderstorms developing between 1300-1400 MDT, before quickly 

shifting east of the fire by 1600 MDT. Given the elevated nature 

of storms, outflow winds will be the primary storm threat and

little to any precipitation is expected. 



.REST OF TODAY...



* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Max Temperature.....72-77. 

* Min Humidity........16-21 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........west-southwest 6-10 mph with gusts of 15-20

  mph. 

* Mixing Height.......10000 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........Southwest 20 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



.TONIGHT...



* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Min Temperature.....54-59. 

* Max Humidity........30-35 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-8 mph with gusts to 15 mph

  shifting to the southeast 3-6 mph overnight. 

* Mixing Height.......8500 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........South 10 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



.SATURDAY...



* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and 

  slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 

* Max Temperature.....77-82. 

* Min Humidity........16-21 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 9-14 mph. Gusts 15-20 mph by late

  morning increasing to 25-30 mph by mid-afternoon. 

* Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl increasing to 11500 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........Southwest 25 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.01-0.03 inches. 



$$

Forecaster...Lukinbeal

Requested by...Johnson

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2512738.1/MSO

.DELDT 05/09/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL zachary.lee@usda.gov,eldon.johnson@usda.gov