FNUS75 KMSO 052123

FWSMSO



Spot Forecast for Black Bear

National Weather Service Missoula MT

323 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2026



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 06. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Elevated to near critical fire weather is expected

Thursday into Friday from hot, dry, and breezy conditions. West-

northwest winds will develop each afternoon, with gusts trending

higher on Friday afternoon (18-24 mph). Strong thermal belts are 

expected Thursday night, leading to poor recoveries heading into 

Friday.



.THURSDAY...



* Sky/Weather.........Sunny. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Max Temperature.....80-85. 

* Min Humidity........9-14 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming west-northwest 4-7

  mph with gusts to 15-20 mph in the afternoon. 

* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 6500 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



.THURSDAY NIGHT...



* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Min Temperature.....55-60. 

* Max Humidity........22-28 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest 3-6 mph with gusts to 15 mph

  through 2000 MDT, becoming east-southeast 3-7 mph overnight.  

* Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in 

  the evening. 

* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



.FRIDAY...



* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. 

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 

* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 

* Max Temperature.....83-88. 

* Min Humidity........11-16 percent. 

* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming west-northwest

  5-10 mph with gusts to 18-24 mph in the afternoon. 

* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 9500 ft agl. 

* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph. 

* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 



$$

Forecaster...Lukinbeal

Requested by...Zach Lee

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2618935.2/MSO

.DELDT 08/05/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL zachary.lee@usda.gov,2026.northforklosthorse.plans@firenet.gov,david.hood@usda.gov,clint.mendenhall@usda.gov