FNUS51 KBUF 050632 FWFBUF Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York National Weather Service Buffalo NY 132 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026 .DISCUSSION... A long stretch of very dry weather continues across the region, with minimal rainfall over the past three weeks, leaving fine fuels and leaf litter very dry across the region. A cold front will cross the region early this morning, bringing a period of beneficial rain to the region. Rainfall amounts will be light, with less than 0.25" in most areas, with the Tug Hill Plateau possibly exceeding 0.25". Another system will cross the eastern Great Lakes late Friday through the weekend with additional rain chances, along with cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity. NYZ201-050900- Lake America Plains- 132 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026 Overnight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Type Showers Showers None Showers Chance Precip (%) 80 70 0 40 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0 Min/Max Temp 57 69 47 63 Max/Min Humidity (%) 92 59 100 53 AM Wind (mph) SW 8 G22 Lgt/Var PM Wind (mph) W 9 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.10 0.09 0.00 0.03 Precip Duration 5 4 4 Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing 6 AM Precip End Continuing 4 PM Continuing Mixing Height (ft-agl) 420 3930 400 5150 Transport Wind (kts) S 13 SW 17 SW 7 W 8 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 5460 66810 2800 41200 Dispersion Index 3 94 2 47 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ200-050900- Southern Tier- 132 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026 Overnight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Cloudy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type Showers Showers None Showers Chance Precip (%) 70 50 0 50 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0 Min/Max Temp 57 70 45 63 Max/Min Humidity (%) 98 50 100 48 AM Wind (mph) SW 8 Lgt/Var PM Wind (mph) SW 9 G21 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.03 Precip Duration 3 1 5 Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing 6 AM Precip End Continuing 10 AM Continuing Mixing Height (ft-agl) 430 5270 400 5430 Transport Wind (kts) S 14 SW 18 SW 8 W 10 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 6020 94860 3200 54300 Dispersion Index 5 112 2 59 Remarks...None. $$ .EXTENDED FORECAST... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. A chance of waterspouts. Lows in the lower 40s. .SATURDAY...Rain showers. A chance of waterspouts. Highs in the lower 50s. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of waterspouts through the night. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50. WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds. WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph. WIND SUNDAY...West 5 to 10 mph. WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph. WIND TUESDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph. WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph. .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal. $$