FNUS28 KWNS 272205

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0503 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



Valid 291200Z - 041200Z



...Synopsis...

Upper-level ridging across the western U.S. will keep much of the

Southwest under dry and warm conditions through the weekend and into

early next week. Surface high pressure across the Intermountain West

will continue to usher in a dry continental air mass and offshore

flow into southern CA midweek. Relaxation of offshore pressure

gradient later this week should mitigate a larger fire weather

threat across the region. Farther east, a strong surface low moving

into the Southeast with attendant northerly, post-frontal flow will

bring windy conditions to much of the central/southern Plains on Day

3/Wednesday, increasing fire weather threats across portions of TX.

The surface low and associated precipitation should largely subdue

fire weather concerns across the eastern U.S. through late week as

the low translates northeastward into New England.



...Day 3/Wednesday...

Dry and breezy offshore winds are likely to continue across Southern

CA through Day 3/Wednesday with a broad surface high pressure

centered over the central Rockies. Although winds will be marginally

weaker, low relative humidity and dry fuels will keep an elevated

fire weather concern across portions of L.A./Ventura counties

Wednesday, where critical probabilities were introduced. Strong,

post-frontal flow ushering in very dry continental air mass will

affect the central and southern Plains Wednesday. Southern TX

remains very dry, missing out on recent widespread rainfall. Gusty

north winds and low relative humidity will promote an increased fire

weather threat across southern TX where critical probabilities were

added.



...Day 4-5/Thursday-Friday...

Discontinuous rainfall distribution across the Southeast over the

next several days could leave pockets of dry fuels in place across

southern AL/GA and the FL Panhandle. Deeper atmospheric moisture

will be shunted offshore, with dry post-frontal flow following on

Day 4-5/Thursday-Friday across the region. Current model guidance

suggests a lighter wind regime, which should limit critical fire

weather conditions from developing.



...Day 6-8/Saturday-Monday...

Cooler temperatures and rainfall during the midweek period will

limit fire weather threats for the Day 6-8/Saturday-Monday time

frame across the eastern U.S. Another cold front pushing into the

Midwest and Great Lakes early next week could bring windy conditions

to the region, but lack of alignment of dry fuels should be a

limiting factor in significant fire spread potential.



..Williams.. 10/27/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$