FNUS28 KWNS 032157

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0455 PM CDT Thu Jul 03 2025



Valid 051200Z - 111200Z



...Day 3/Saturday...

A mid-level short wave trough will lift into the Montana and

northern High Plains through Day 3/Saturday. Widespread wetting

rains are expected across much of the Northern Rockies while

lingering southwest flow will present a fire weather threat to

portions of southeastern NV/southwestern UT. Elevated mid-level

winds along with a well-mixed boundary layer will support breezy and

dry conditions for the southern Great Basin on Day 3/Saturday, where

40 percent critical probabilities have been added.



...Days 4-8/Sunday-Thursday...

A building Four Corners high along with a quasi-stationary mid-level

low offshore of northern CA will support a persistent dry, southwest

flow pattern over the Southwestern U.S. and Great Basin Region from

Day 4-7/Sunday-Wednesday. A primary impact of the building mid-level

ridge will be increasing heat across the Western U.S., promoting

drying of fuels across the region while southwest aloft keeps

monsoon moisture and associated showers and thunderstorms confined

to the Continental Divide and southern Arizona. Ensemble guidance

suggests a slight shift westward of the Four Corners high towards

the lower Colorado River basin midweek, potentially inviting a push

of monsoon moisture into Southern California and Great Basin Days

7-8/Wednesday-Thursday. However, uncertainty remains high enough to

preclude critical probabilities for dry thunderstorms at this time.



..Williams.. 07/03/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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