FNUS22 KWNS 221749

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1248 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Valid 231200Z - 241200Z



A slight expansion to the north and east was made to the Elevated

area focused over the mid-Atlantic. Recent rainfall constrains the

southern side of the area where marginally elevated weather

conditions will be possible, but fuels are not as receptive. Behind

the cold front, northwest winds sustained at 10-20 mph will combine

with RHs of 20-30% during peak heating on the afternoon of Day

2/Monday. While some of the latest forecast guidance has trended

slightly drier, downslope flow (with occasional gusts exceeding 30

mph) on the lee side of the Appalachian Mountains is expected to dry

air even further than consensus currently indicates.



..Stearns.. 03/22/2026



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0108 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026/



...Synopsis...

On Monday, an upper-level trough is expected to amplify across parts

of the East. A cold front will push southward through the southern

Appalachians. Dry southerly return flow will occur in the Plains.



...Piedmont...

Dry and breezy downslope winds will occur behind the cold front

during the afternoon. RH could drop as low as 25-30%. Winds of

around 15 mph are possible, though locally higher speeds could

occur. Some precipitation occurred late Saturday afternoon,

especially in Upstate South Carolina. Locally elevated conditions

remain possible in South Carolina, but confidence in sustained

Elevated conditions is higher farther north where fuels should be

relatively drier.



...Southwest into the Plains...

A more nebulous surface pattern will generally keep winds weak in

most areas. However, some enhanced southerly winds are possible,

particularly in portions of the southern/central Plains. RH the

Southwest will likely remain in the 10-20% range. RH in the Plains

is less certain, but pockets around 20% could be observed. Without

stronger surface winds, only locally elevated conditions are

expected.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$