FGUS51 KTAR 121636

RVFBGM

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

1136 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Seneca Lake - Geneva, NY 

:Flood stage 448.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 444.7 FT at Dec-12 1100 AM 

.ER GNVN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          / 444.6 / 444.6 / 444.6 

.E2  :1213:  / 444.6 / 444.6 / 444.6 / 444.6 

.E3  :1214:  / 444.6 / 444.6 / 444.6 / 444.6 

.E4  :1215:  / 444.6 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Fall Creek - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 0.8 FT at Dec-12 1045 AM 

.ER FLLN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          /   0.9 /   0.9 /   0.9 

.E2  :1213:  /   0.9 /   0.9 /   0.9 /   0.9 

.E3  :1214:  /   0.9 /   0.9 /   0.9 /   0.9 

.E4  :1215:  /   0.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 

:Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents

:Natural Flow.

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Lake Inlet - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 383.5 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 380.2 FT at Dec-12 1100 AM 

.ER ICYN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          / 380.3 / 380.3 / 380.3 

.E2  :1213:  / 380.3 / 380.3 / 380.3 / 380.3 

.E3  :1214:  / 380.3 / 380.3 / 380.3 / 380.3 

.E4  :1215:  / 380.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake - Owasco Lake, NY 

:Flood stage 715.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 710.3 FT at Dec-12 1045 AM 

.ER OWSN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          / 710.3 / 710.3 / 710.3 

.E2  :1213:  / 710.2 / 710.2 / 710.2 / 710.2 

.E3  :1214:  / 710.2 / 710.2 / 710.2 / 710.2 

.E4  :1215:  / 710.2 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake Outlet - Auburn, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Dec-12 1100 AM 

.ER AUON6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 

.E2  :1213:  /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 

.E3  :1214:  /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0 

.E4  :1215:  /   2.0 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:RIVER IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Creek - Syracuse-Dorwin Ave, NY 

:Flood stage 5.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Dec-12 1030 AM 

.ER ONDN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 

.E2  :1213:  /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 

.E3  :1214:  /   1.7 /   1.7 /   1.7 /   1.7 

.E4  :1215:  /   1.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 

:Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents

:Natural Flow.

:************************************************************

:Oneida Creek - Oneida, NY 

:Flood stage 11.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Dec-12 1115 AM 

.ER NEIN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 

.E2  :1213:  /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 

.E3  :1214:  /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 

.E4  :1215:  /   2.5 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 

:Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents

:Natural Flow.

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Lake - Liverpool, NY 

:Flood stage 366.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 363.3 FT at Dec-12 1030 AM 

.ER LVRN6 20251212 E DC202512121136/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :1212:          / 363.3 / 363.2 / 363.2 

.E2  :1213:  / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 

.E3  :1214:  / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 

.E4  :1215:  / 363.2 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...