FGUS51 KTAR 090153

RVFBUF

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

0953 PM EDT Thu May 08 2025

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY

:Flood stage 12.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 9.0 FT at May-08 0900 PM

.ER RAPN6 20250509 E DC202505082153/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0508:                          /   8.7

.E2  :0509:  /   8.3 /   7.7 /   7.1 /   6.6

.E3  :0510:  /   6.0 /   5.5 /   5.0 /   4.6

.E4  :0511:  /   4.2 /   3.9 /   3.7

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Avon, NY

:Flood stage 33.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 28.8 FT at May-08 0915 PM

.ER AVON6 20250509 E DC202505082153/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0508:                          /  29.0

.E2  :0509:  /  29.0 /  29.0 /  29.0 /  29.0

.E3  :0510:  /  28.9 /  28.8 /  28.7 /  28.6

.E4  :0511:  /  28.5 /  28.4 /  28.3

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Black Creek - Churchville, NY

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at May-08 0900 PM

.ER CHRN6 20250509 E DC202505082153/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0508:                          /   3.4

.E2  :0509:  /   3.3 /   3.1 /   3.0 /   2.9

.E3  :0510:  /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.6 /   2.5

.E4  :0511:  /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.3

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...