ACUS48 KWNS 050945

SWOD48

SPC AC 050944



Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0344 AM CST Thu Nov 05 2026



Valid 081200Z - 131200Z



...DISCUSSION...

Minimal thunderstorm potential is forecast across the CONUS through

the period.



Scattered showers and few elevated thunderstorms may persist over

far southern TX on Sun/D4 as a positive-tilt shortwave trough moves

out of Mexico an into TX. Lapse rates will generally be poor, with

marginal instability and moist profiles aided by east/southeast

surface winds. Severe weather is not expected with this activity.



Otherwise, an active northern stream jet will bring progressive

troughs east/southeastward across the northern Plains, Great Lakes

and Northeast/Mid Atlantic, with reinforcing areas of high pressure

maintaining stable conditions.



..Jewell.. 11/05/2026