ACUS11 KWNS 071204

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 071204 

GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-071330-



Mesoscale Discussion 0665

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0704 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026



Areas affected...Parts of south AL...southwest GA...FL Panhandle



Concerning...Tornado Watch 189...190...



Valid 071204Z - 071330Z



The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 189, 190 continues.



SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind and a tornado will persist

through the morning.



DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms are ongoing as of 12 UTC across

south AL, southwest GA, and the northwest FL Panhandle. Despite rich

low-level moisture and a favorable kinematic environment, storms

have struggled to maintain severe intensity this morning, likely due

to weak low/midlevel lapse rates and a tendency for storms to

generally be oriented parallel to a southward-sagging outflow

boundary. 



Early visible satellite imagery suggests some clearing and potential

for filtered heating across parts of the FL Panhandle into southwest

GA. Any substantial destabilization and steepening of low-level

lapse rates could yield an uptick in severe potential through the

morning, as storms generally move east-southeastward. While some

modest weakening and veering of low-level flow will be possible from

west to east, deep-layer flow/shear will remain more than sufficient

for organized convection, resulting in localized damaging-wind and

tornado potential with any supercells or small bowing segments.



..Dean.. 05/07/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...



LAT...LON   31108800 31258663 31618535 31728453 31688407 31658386

            31608375 31458359 31198348 30718358 30558380 30428428

            30338549 30318597 30378682 30368737 30388773 30428791

            30838805 31108800 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN