ACUS11 KWNS 070921

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 070920 

GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-071115-



Mesoscale Discussion 0664

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0420 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026



Areas affected...Southeast MS...south AL...southwest GA...FL

Panhandle



Concerning...Tornado Watch 189...190...



Valid 070920Z - 071115Z



The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 189, 190 continues.



SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind and a tornado will continue

through dawn.



DISCUSSION...A small supercell has evolved across southeast MS, in

the vicinity of an outflow boundary associated with more widespread

convection across south AL. This cell may have the greatest

short-term opportunity to move within a somewhat more moist and

unstable environment. With strong deep-layer flow/shear still in

place, localized damaging wind and/or a tornado cannot be ruled out

with this cell, if it persists. 



Otherwise, convection near and north of the outflow may tend to

remain somewhat disorganized in the short term, though if any

ongoing storms can mature and take on a more rightward motion like

the southeast MS cell, then some uptick in the damaging wind and

tornado threat could still occur through dawn.



..Dean.. 05/07/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...



LAT...LON   31218899 31748714 31898565 31918522 31858492 31638474

            31298472 30988487 30888496 30698547 30708641 30778763

            30718865 30858905 31218899 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN