ACUS11 KWNS 070305

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 070304 

GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-070400-



Mesoscale Discussion 0662

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1004 PM CDT Wed May 06 2026



Areas affected...southern Mississippi and southern Alabama



Concerning...Tornado Watch 186...187...



Valid 070304Z - 070400Z



The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 186, 187 continues.



SUMMARY...The severe threat continues within portions of WW186 and

WW187. A replacement watch may be needed before 04z.



DISCUSSION...The thermodynamic environment continues to trend down

across portions of central MS/AL as the front sags southward.

Further south, more favorably warm and unstable air and strong deep

layer shear remains near the Gulf. 



With continued steady increase in the LLJ expected across southern

MS/AL overnight, a corridor of continuing severe risk looks likely.

Given favorable low-level shear profiles, the tornado risk will

likely continue into the overnight across these areas. Risk for

instances of large hail will also continue. A replacement watch

probably will be needed before 04z.



..Thornton.. 05/07/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...



LAT...LON   32648677 32458844 32099041 31889088 31789106 31669116

            31549117 31389112 31199105 31109083 31079041 31348801

            31478642 31748517 32118497 32568504 32758562 32648677 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN