ACUS11 KWNS 070114

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 070113 

ALZ000-MSZ000-070315-



Mesoscale Discussion 0661

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0813 PM CDT Wed May 06 2026



Areas affected...southeastern Mississippi into central/southern

Alabama



Concerning...Tornado Watch 187...



Valid 070113Z - 070315Z



The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 187 continues.



SUMMARY...Threat for large hail and tornadoes continues within WW186

and WW187.



DISCUSSION...Along and south of the cold front in central Alabama,

supercells have produced large to very large hail (up to 2.75

inches). This threat will likely continue over the next couple of

hours, given strong deep layer shear and MLCAPE around 1000-1500

J/kg.



The increase of the LLJ has been noted across southern Mississippi

over the last couple of hours, with notable increase in supercell

intensity. Guidance suggests that through time, the 40-50 kt LLJ

will increase and move northeastward into southern Alabama over the

next several hours. Mature supercells coming out of Mississippi may

continue to pose a risk for tornadoes into Alabama as a result.

Cells along the front may tend to grow upscale into clusters but

will still pose some risk for line embedded circulations and

potentially tornadoes.



..Thornton.. 05/07/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...



LAT...LON   32178943 33168877 33688738 33728651 33108588 32528592

            31888602 31378660 31308818 31288887 31388926 32178943 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN