ACUS11 KWNS 070031

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 070031 

ALZ000-MSZ000-070130-



Mesoscale Discussion 0659

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0731 PM CDT Wed May 06 2026



Areas affected...southeastern Mississippi and far southwest Alabama



Concerning...Tornado Watch 186...



Valid 070031Z - 070130Z



The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 186 continues.



SUMMARY...An intense supercell with a recent strong tornado is

ongoing and expected to continue. The environment remains very

favorable for strong tornadoes across southeastern MS and southwest

AL.



DISCUSSION...As of 0020 UTC, local radar imagery showed an intense

supercell with a recent, likely strong, tornado ongoing over

portions of southern Forest County in southeastern MS. This

supercell is ongoing in an an environment with STP values of 2-3.

The MOB VAD shows an enlarged hodograph with 200-300 m2/s2 of

effective SRH. This strongly suggests this discrete supercell will

continue eastward with a risk for tornadoes (possibly strong to

intense) this evening. Current tracking (240 degrees at 40 kt)

extrapolates this storm across the MS/AL state line near 0100 to

0130 UTC (8 to 830 CDT). Large hail and damaging winds also remain

possible.



..Lyons.. 05/07/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...



LAT...LON   31518935 31658858 31638817 31448786 31318785 31188803

            31088822 31048855 31038896 31058916 31068930 31128940

            31228941 31518935 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN