ACUS03 KWNS 271915

SWODY3

SPC AC 271914



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0214 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025



Valid 291200Z - 301200Z



...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Little to no thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday.



...Synopsis...

An upper low will deepen on Wednesday as it swings northeastward out

of AR and toward the upper OH Valley late. This low will be within a

large upper trough which will amplify across much of the Southeast

and toward the Mid Atlantic into Thursday.



Cool northerly surface winds will exist over much of the central US,

with a somewhat broad area of low pressure over the Southeast ahead

of the upper trough. A cold front will be moving across the northern

Gulf early Wednesday, with a minimal moisture plume perhaps

extending northeastward toward the FL Panhandle. There may be

scattered showers along this front, but relatively poor lapse rate

profiles suggest any convection would be weak and perhaps shallow.



Otherwise, the air mass ahead of the upper trough should remain

mostly stable, the exception being the possibility of highly

elevated instability wrapping northwestward across the Mid Atlantic.

While a lightning flash cannot be ruled out late Wednesday into

Wednesday night in that region, the overall threat of thunderstorms

or any substantial lightning appears minimal.



..Jewell.. 10/27/2025



$$