ACUS03 KWNS 221921

SWODY3

SPC AC 221920



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0220 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026



Valid 241200Z - 251200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday from far

southeast Georgia to the Florida Peninsula. No severe threat is

forecast.



...Synopsis...

A mid/upper shortwave trough and strong surface low are forecast to

move across parts of British Columbia on Tuesday, as a trailing cold

front moves across the Pacific Northwest. Weak convection may

develop along and in the wake of this cold front, but inland

buoyancy appears too meager for more than very isolated thunderstorm

potential. 



Farther south and east, an upper ridge is forecast to amplify

somewhat over the Southwest on Tuesday, with a west-northwesterly

flow regime expected to persist downstream across much of the

central/eastern CONUS. An embedded mid/upper-level shortwave trough

will move across the lower MS Valley and Southeast. A cold front

that moves into north FL late D2/Monday is forecast to slow down and

weaken on Tuesday. 



Modest buoyancy may develop near the remnant front, and isolated

storm development will be possible across the FL Peninsula and

adjacent southeast GA, both diurnally, and potentially in response

to the approaching shortwave trough late in the period. Weak

deep-layer shear is expected to limit storm organization. Some weak

destabilization will also be possible near the remnant front across

the central Gulf Coast and lower MS Valley. It appears the shortwave

trough will be displaced north of any appreciable destabilization

along the western portion of the remnant front, but weak convection

cannot be ruled out from LA/MS to the FL Panhandle.



..Dean.. 03/22/2026



$$