ACUS02 KWNS 020634

SWODY2

SPC AC 020633



Day 2 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1233 AM CST Mon Feb 02 2026



Valid 031200Z - 041200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night.



...East TX into the lower MS Valley...

A series of shortwave troughs will move through/into the base of a

larger-scale trough covering the eastern half of the CONUS through

the period. As this occurs, a related cold front will move

southeastward across east TX into the lower MS Valley during the

afternoon and evening/overnight hours. Despite poor deep-layer lapse

rates, sufficient boundary-layer moisture return (middle 50s to near

60 F dewpoints) will yield weak surface-based buoyancy ahead of the

front. This will support isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms

from east TX into LA, though the weak buoyancy and limited

large-scale ascent over the warm sector should limit the severe

risk.



..Weinman.. 02/02/2026



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