ACUS01 KWNS 031237

SWODY1

SPC AC 031235



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0635 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026



Valid 031300Z - 041200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the

contiguous United States.



...Northwest Gulf Coast into the Ark-La-Miss...

The low-level airmass over this region is continuing to slowly

modify after a previous arctic intrusion into the Gulf basin.  Only

limited diurnal destabilization (i.e., mainly 50s surface dewpoints

yielding weak CAPE) is expected within a warm conveyor extending

across the central Gulf Coast states eastward into the southern

Appalachians.  A mid-level trough will approach the region and aid

in pushing a cold front southeast.  Forecast soundings suggest weak,

isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon over east TX and

the Ark-La-Tex before shifting east-southeast across the lower MS

Valley later this evening into tonight.



..Smith/Jewell.. 02/03/2026



$$