ABPW10 PGTW 050900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050900Z-060600ZNOV2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050751ZNOV2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 05NOV26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 30W (IN-FA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 29.4N 141.5E, APPROXIMATELY 366 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050900) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.0N 159.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 157.2E, APPROXIMATELY 738 NM 
EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) AND A 042103Z SSMIS F16 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A POORLY-
ORGANIZED, FULLY EXPOSED WAVE FEATURE, WITH DISORGANIZED FLARING 
CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE WAVE AXIS. A 042244Z ASCAT-C 
PASS, SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED EASTERLY WAVE FEATURE, WITH AN AXIS ALONG 
158E, MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD WITH ENHANCED WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN 
SEMICIRCLE WHILE LACKING A WESTERLY WIND COMPONENT EQUATORWARD THE 
WAVE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 5-
10 KNOTS, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
(SST) OF 28-29C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT PORTRAYING SLOW CONSOLIDATION INTO A CIRCULATION CENTER, 
WHILE 99W SLOWLY TRANSITS WESTWARD, OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 1.A.(1) WITH 30W FINAL 
WARNING INFORMATION.//
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